Macro Minute: Week of August 11, 2025
Today I want to cover something that may be surprising to some of you like it was for me. We all know that many of the largest companies have been spending a lot of money on AI. As these companies have been reporting earnings, we are starting to piece together the sheer amount of money that is, has been, and will continue to be spent on AI.

The first chart is showing just how much this AI spending is contributing to the U.S. economy via GDP growth. The majority of the U.S. economy is consumer spending, and that usually drives GDP growth. What we have seen in the last six months is that AI spending is actually adding more to GDP growth than the U.S. consumer. This is quite incredible.

The above chart from Christopher Mims of the Wall Street Journal, is showing how much CapEx from Meta, Google, Microsoft, and Amazon has been spent.

Finally, this last chart from Puru Saxana of AlphaTarget is showing that greater than $3 trillion dollars of spending is planned through 2028.
With this much investment, it is no wonder that the tariffs have been shrugged off by the market. The hope is that this investment leads to an increase in productivity in the total economy. Time will tell, but indications are that this could be more revolutionary than the internet was in the 1990’s and 2000’s. Putting numbers to this was helpful to me, maybe it will be for you.
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